The evolving value of corsi
My understanding of success in hockey is composed of four factors:
1. Shot metrics (corsi, fenwick, etc.)
2. PDO (SH% + SV%)
3. Special teams
4. Luck
The influence of each of these factors is up for debate. This old piece from PPP found that the most advanced shot metrics constituted about 30-35% of winning in hockey, as measured by point percentage and winning percentage. The same piece found that another 30% could be explained by PP%+PK%. I have seen smarter people than I refer to luck as 30% of hockey... Читать дальше...