The Israelis are concerned that Trump will change his mind about supporting them in the same cavalier way that he switched his position with regard to the Kurds.
As a direct result of President Donald Trump’s precipitous withdrawal of American forces from Syria, Israel’s strategic situation deteriorated significantly overnight. In the preceding period, Israel was part of an informal anti-Iran coalition that includes Saudi Arabia as well as the United Arab Emirates and had the backing of the United States. There have been numerous and growing contacts among Israel and the Arab states, which for decades were among Israel’s sworn enemies. There were even some discussions that Israeli warplanes might refuel in Saudi Arabia on their way back from striking Iran. Trump’s peace plan was based on these Arab states recognizing Israel and pressuring the Palestinians to make major concessions.
All this is now history. The Arab states no longer assume that they have U.S. backing. (Indeed, they realize that even if Trump loses the election, they cannot necessarily expect better from a Democratic president. Bernie Sanders congratulated Trump on his decision to abandon the Kurds in order to get out of the Middle East. During the most recent debate, the Democratic candidates differed on how to get out of the Middle East—but not about the fact that the United States should quit. The combined militaries of the Arab states are no match to that of Iran, and they are therefore rushing to find some way to accommodate Iran, the new dominant power in the Middle East. They are now quick to distance themselves from Israel, which Iran considers an evil incarnate.
The Israelis are concerned that Trump will change his mind about supporting them in the same cavalier way that he switched his position with regard to the Kurds. “The conclusion we draw needs to be unequivocal: Trump has become unreliable for Israel. He can longer be trusted,” declared Shimon Shiffer in a column in Yediot Ahronot, the Israeli newspaper with the widest circulation in the country.
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