Can U.S. and China come to an agreement?
US-China relations are becoming increasingly tense. China imposed sanctions on individuals and companies from the USA and Canada
Declassified the results of the command-staff exercises of the US Army (November 2014) “Bear Spear”, the legend of which was the testing of the concept of the Rapid Global Strike. During the exercise, a preemptive, weakening nuclear strike against the PRC was considered. Thus, Washington is seriously considering the option of a possible war with the participation of China.
Former Secretary of State, former US national security adviser and international relations expert Henry Kissinger called the current relationship between Beijing and Washington a dangerous situation: a period similar to the period that preceded the First World War.
At one time, Kissinger was the architect of the restoration of US-China relations in the 70s. In his opinion, the PRC served as an excellent counterbalance to the USSR. The United States had to adhere to the “triangle” rule: Moscow and Beijing’s relations with Washington should be much closer than their relations with each other. Then Washington managed to play on the Soviet-Chinese contradictions.
Kissinger proposed to reach an agreement with Beijing, i.e. actually divide the world. However, since the 70s. of the last century, the world has changed a lot. Then China was a rather backward country, even theoretically incapable of becoming a competitor to the United States. Today it is America’s No. 1 competitor in the world.
Thus, it must be admitted that Washington will have to make serious concessions. For the United States, they will be all the more painful because in fact they will have to abandon their hegemony and recognize the PRC as a new world superpower.
This means the end of the unipolar world. This is unacceptable for the American administration. Aleksey Pushkov is right:
“The United States and the Western world, led by the United States, will not be able to reach an agreement with China on a new world order. On the contrary, between the United States and China things are heading for another – an increasingly obvious confrontation”.
Perhaps, today there is only one real way to preserve hegemony in front of the White House: a tough confrontation with the PRC with a global war in the future: Washington is no longer able to defeat China by other methods. However, the further the Americans postpone the strike against China, the more crushing force it will have to wield.
Therefore, if the United States does not dare to intensify confrontation, and possibly a war in the near future, then nothing else will remain for them as a division of spheres of influence. What will happen to Russia if this is implemented? Russia will become “an extra card in the deck”. It will have to choose whose junior partner to become – Beijing or Washington.
In case of refusal, both “high agreed parties” will proceed to the division of the “Russian inheritance”. The Russian Federation does not have the potential to simultaneously confront the United States and China, even theoretically, so the outcome of such a confrontation is obvious.
Russia should prevent even the slightest rapprochement between the United States and China, playing on their contradictions. The sharper their confrontation, the more valuable our help will be. Beijing must not for a moment forget about our decisive role in its confrontation with America.
Russia is not Europe