Premier League Predictions: Jones Knows says Leicester’s attack can hurt Man Utd
Leicester can cause Manchester United problems on Sunday while Tottenham will edge past London rivals West Ham on Sunday, writes tipster Jones Knows.
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Manchester United
Leicester City
Sunday 19th February 1:00pm Kick off 2:00pm
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Brendan Rodgers has conjured up a fluid and dangerous attacking unit, led by James Maddison, that is completely capable of creating big moments at Old Trafford, especially with United likely to make changes to an already weakened midfield. That could make the hosts vulnerable here to the Foxes, who have won four of their last six Premier League away games.
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Harvey Barnes remains a player completely overlooked on a weekly basis by the markets. Barnes has scored eight times this season to a backdrop of 2.35 shots per 90 and 1.15 shots on target per 90. He is priced up very healthily at 12/1 to score first and 4/1 anytime despite being Leicester’s most potent attacking weapon along with Maddison. Barnes continues to play as an out and out left-wing forward with not many defensive responsibilities and is so dangerous when cutting in onto his right foot. He can feature prominently in a goal-heavy game.
Image: Harvey Barnes celebrates after putting Leicester 2-1 up against Brighton
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
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Stylistically, West Ham aren’t doing much differently to last season but their serious threat from set-pieces and crosses – a key area of strength for all David Moyes’ teams – has completely gone astray.
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The Hammers are the only Premier League team yet to score from a cross this season – this is after scoring 30 Premier League goals from crosses in the previous two seasons. And, they have scored only one headed goal this season from 53 shots, compared to eight headed goals from 67 shots last season. Perhaps teams have worked out a methodology to stop them.
Since leaving Everton, Moyes has managed 37 times away at either Manchester United, Manchester City, Tottenham, Arsenal, Chelsea and Liverpool and has yet to register a victory with just six of those ending in draws.
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That’s 31 defeats, yet, 17 of those came by just a one-goal margin. This means when Moyes takes a team to a ‘big six’ rival there is a 46 per cent chance that team will lose by one goal from quite a hefty sample size of games. It makes sense as his style does lead to no-thrills match-ups where it can be a slog for the opposition to find a way through.
Odds of 5/2 with Sky Bet for Tottenham to win by one goal imply a 28 per cent chance of probability so we’re getting a fair chunk of value on our side with this one.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0
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