Network analysis of patterns and relevance of enteric pathogen co-infections among infants in a diarrhea-endemic setting

by E. Ross Colgate, Connor Klopfer, Dorothy M. Dickson, Benjamin Lee, Matthew J. Wargo, Ashraful Alam, Beth D. Kirkpatrick, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Despite significant progress in recent decades toward ameliorating the excess burden of diarrheal disease globally, childhood diarrhea remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in low-and-middle-income countries (LMICs). Recent large-scale studies of diarrhea etiology in these populations have revealed widespread co-infection with multiple enteric pathogens, in both acute and asymptomatic stool specimens. We applied methods from network science and ecology to better understand the underlying structure of enteric co-infection among infants in two large longitudinal birth cohorts in Bangladesh. We used a configuration model to establish distributions of expected random co-occurrence, based on individual pathogen prevalence alone, for every pathogen pair among 30 enteropathogens detected by qRT-PCR in both diarrheal and asymptomatic stool specimens. We found two pairs, Enterotoxigenic E. coli (ETEC) with Enteropathogenic E. coli (EPEC), and ETEC with Campylobacter spp., co-infected significantly more than expected at random (both pairs co-occurring almost 4 standard deviations above what one could expect due to chance alone). Furthermore, we found a general pattern that bacteria-bacteria pairs appear together more frequently than expected at random, while virus-bacteria pairs tend to appear less frequently than expected based on model predictions. Finally, infants co-infected with leading bacteria-bacteria pairs had more days of diarrhea in the first year of life compared to infants without co-infection (p-value <0.0001). Our methods and results help us understand the structure of enteric co-infection which can guide further work to identify and eliminate common sources of infection or determine biologic mechanisms that promote co-infection.