Biden Vulnerable in 2024 Amid Crumbling Minority Support: Poll

President Joe Biden trailed Donald Trump in a poll released Monday that revealed his support among minorities and young voters is falling, the latest poor showing for the incumbent running for reelection this year.

Biden would lose to Trump by 39 percent to 37 percent in a hypothetical 2024 matchup, with 17 percent supporting an unspecified third-party candidate, according to a poll from USA Today and Suffolk University. Trump's lead widened slightly when pollsters included the names of third-party candidates, with independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. taking 10 percent of the vote. The poll queried 1,000 likely voters and had a margin of error of 3.1 percent.

The poll also found falling support for Biden among minority voters. Sixty-three percent of black voters supported the president, compared with the 87 percent of the group he won in 2020. Trump beat Biden among Hispanic voters 39 percent to 34 percent and voters ages 18-34 by a margin of 37 percent to 33 percent. About 20 percent of all three of those groups chose third-party candidates over Trump or Biden.

Thirty-nine percent of respondents said they approved of Biden's job in office, while 58 percent disapproved. That rating is slightly worse than the RealClearPolitics polling average, which has 40.5 percent approval of Biden and just under 56 percent disapproval.

There is, however, a silver lining for Biden in the poll—voters' attitudes on the economy, which voters often rank as the country's most important issue, are improving. Twenty-nine percent of respondents said the economy is in recovery, a metric up 8 points since October.

Biden has consistently struggled in recent polls. In the past three months, Trump has overtaken Biden in RealClearPolitics's average of a head-to-head matchup between the two. A Washington Post report from last month found that Biden was becoming frustrated with his polling numbers.

That report came after the president hit an all-time low approval in a CNN poll in early December. A subsequent Wall Street Journal poll saw Trump beating Biden by 4 points in a head-to-head matchup—though it also indicated that Biden would beat Trump by 1 point should the former president face a felony conviction. Days later, a poll from Bloomberg and Morning Consult saw Trump beating Biden in seven swing states, three of which saw Trump's lead outside of the margin of error.

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