2023 Creative Arts Emmy predictions: Our official odds in 31 key categories

After a three-month delay, the 2023 Creative Arts Emmys will be handed out on Saturday, Jan. 6 and Sunday, Jan. 7. Who will win in some of the most highly-anticipated categories, including the four Guest Acting races? Scroll down for our official odds in 31 races covering animation, nonfiction, reality, variety, documentaries and more. Our projected winners are highlighted in gold.

These official odds for the Creative Arts Emmys are derived from the predictions of our Experts who write about television year-round, our in-house team of Editors, the Top 24 Users who did the best predicting last year’s ceremony, the All-Star Top 24 who have the highest scores when you combine predictions from the last two years and all our Users who make up the largest and often savviest bloc of predictors.

The Creative Arts Emmys are usually a strong bellwether about what series are ahead in the race for the Primetime Emmys, which will be awarded this year on Jan. 15 on Fox. All eyes will be on the casting prizes for Comedy, Drama, and Limited Series, which always help indicate what shows will likely take home the top three program awards; last year, “Succession” and “The White Lotus” both won in their respective categories on the way their future trophies, though they will now compete against each other for Drama Casting this year. Other top races at these two ceremonies include Best TV Movie, Best Reality Host, and more.

See our combined odds below and make or update your own predictions until the evening of Jan. 6 before the first ceremony begins.

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTRESS
Harriet Walter, “Succession” — 7/2
Melanie Lynskey, “The Last of Us” — 9/2
Hiam Abbass, “Succession” — 5/1
Anna Torv, “The Last of Us” — 11/2
Cherry Jones, “Succession” — 6/1
Storm Reid, “The Last of Us” — 13/2

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTOR
Nick Offerman, “The Last of Us” — 16/5
James Cromwell, “Succession” — 4/1
Murray Bartlett, “The Last of Us” — 5/1
Lamar Johnson, “The Last of Us” — 13/2
Keivonn Montreal Woodard, “The Last of Us” — 7/1
Arian Moayed, “Succession” — 7/1

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTRESS
Taraji P. Henson, “Abbott Elementary” — 82/25
Judith Light, “Poker Face” — 4/1
Becky Ann Baker, “Ted Lasso” — 5/1
Quinta Brunson, “Saturday Night Live” — 11/2
Harriet Walter, “Ted Lasso” — 7/1
Sarah Niles, “Ted Lasso” — 15/2

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTOR
Jon Bernthal, “The Bear” — 39/10
Nathan Lane, “Only Murders in the Building” — 9/2
Luke Kirby, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 5/1
Pedro Pascal, “Saturday Night Live” — 5/1
Oliver Platt, “The Bear” — 11/2
Sam Richardson, “Ted Lasso” — 7/1

BEST TV MOVIE
Weird: The Al Yankovic Story — 31/10
Prey — 37/10
Fire Island — 9/2
Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas — 9/2
Hocus Pocus 2 — 9/2

BEST REALITY HOST
RuPaul Charles, “RuPaul’s Drag Race” — 31/10
Padma Lakshmi, “Top Chef” — 4/1
Nicole Byer, “Nailed It” — 4/1
Queer Eye Hosts, “Queer Eye” — 9/2
Amy Poehler and Maya Rudolph, “Baking It” — 9/2

BEST GAME SHOW HOST
Mayim Bialik, “Jeopardy!” — 71/20
Keke Palmer, “Password” — 39/10
Ken Jennings, “Jeopardy!” — 4/1
Steve Harvey, “Family Feud” — 4/1
Pat Sajak, “Wheel of Fortune” — 9/2

BEST GAME SHOW
Jeopardy! — 16/5
The Price is Right — 4/1
Family Feud — 9/2
Wheel of Fortune — 9/2
That’s My Jam — 9/2

BEST VARIETY SPECIAL RECORDED
Carol Burnett: 90 Years of Laughter + Love — 7/2
John Mulaney: Baby J — 4/1
Norman Lear: 100 Years of Music and Laughter — 9/2
Lizzo: Live in Concert — 6/1
Trevor Noah: I Wish You Would — 13/2
Wanda Sykes: I’m An Entertainer — 7/1

BEST VARIETY SERIES DIRECTING
Saturday Night Live — 31/10
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver — 37/10
Jimmy Kimmel Live — 9/2
The Problem with John Stewart — 9/2
Late Show with Stephen Colbert — 9/2

BEST VARIETY SERIES WRITING
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver — 31/10
Saturday Night Live — 39/10
Late Night with Seth Meyer — 4/1
Late Show with Stephen Colbert — 9/2
Daily Show with Trevor Noah — 9/2

BEST VARIETY SPECIAL DIRECTING
The Oscars — 10/3
Super Bowl LVII Halftime Show — 39/10
Carol Burnett: 90 Years of Laughter + Love — 4/1
Chris Rock: Selective Outrage — 9/2
Wanda Sykes: I’m An Entertainer — 9/2

BEST VARIETY SPECIAL WRITING
John Mulaney: Baby J — 10/3
Chris Rock: Selective Outrage — 37/10
Carol Burnett: 90 Years of Laughter + Love — 9/2
Wanda Sykes: I’m An Entertainer — 9/2
Would It Kill You To Laugh? — 9/2

BEST ANIMATED PROGRAM
Genndy Tartakovsky’s Primal — 69/20
The Simpsons — 37/10
Entergalactic — 4/1
Bob’s Burgers — 9/2
Rick and Morty — 9/2

BEST VOICE-OVER PERFORMANCE
Maya Rudolph, “Big Mouth” — 37/10
Mel Brooks, “History of the World: Part II” — 4/1
Julie Andrews, “Queen Charlotte” — 5/1
Ali Wong, “Tuca and Bertie” — 5/1
Alex Borstein, “Family Guy” — 6/1
Wanda Sykes, “Crank Yankers” — 7/1

BEST NARRATOR
Barack Obama, “Working: What We Do All Day” — 16/5
Angela Bassett, “Good Night Oppy” — 39/10
Morgan Freeman, “Our Universe” — 4/1
Pedro Pascal, “Patagonia: Life On The Edge Of The World” — 9/2
Mahershala Ali, “Chimp Empire” — 9/2

BEST STRUCTURED REALITY PROGRAM
Queer Eye — 16/5
Shark Tank — 39/10
Love Is Blind — 4/1
Antiques Roadshow — 9/2
Diners. Drive-Ins and Dives — 9/2

BEST UNSTRUCTURED REALITY PROGRAM
Welcome to Wrexham — 17/5
RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked — 37/10
Vanderpump Rules — 4/1
Selling Sunset — 9/2
Indian Matchmaking — 9/2

BEST DOCUMENTARY SERIES
The U.S. and the Holocaust — 7/2
The 1619 Project — 71/20
Secrets Of The Elephants — 4/1
Dear Mama — 9/2
100 Foot Wave — 9/2

BEST DOCUMENTARY SPECIAL
Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie — 31/10
Being Mary Tyler Moore — 39/10
Judy Blume Forever — 9/2
Pamela, A Love Story — 9/2
My Transparent Life — 9/2

BEST DOCUMENTARY FILMMAKING
The Territory — 12/5
Last Flight Home — 29/10
Aftershock — 10/3
The Accused — 71/20

BEST HOSTED NONFICTION SERIES OR SPECIAL
Stanley Tucci: Searching for Italy — 82/25
The Light We Carry — 19/5
United Shades of America — 4/1
My Next Guest Needs No Introduction — 9/2
Taste the Nation — 9/2

BEST MAIN TITLE DESIGN
Wednesday — 37/10
The Last of Us — 4/1
The White Lotus — 9/2
Cabinet of Curiosities — 6/1
Lord of the Rings: Rings of Power — 6/1
Hello Tomorrow — 7/1

BEST MAIN TITLE THEME MUSIC
Andor — 10/3
Wednesday — 19/5
Lord of the Rings: Rings of Power — 4/1
Cabinet of Curiosities — 9/2
Ms. Marvel — 9/2

BEST MUSIC FOR SERIES
Succession — 16/5
Wednesday — 4/1
The White Lotus — 4/1
The Last of Us — 9/2
Andor — 9/2

BEST MUSIC FOR LIMITED SERIES
Weird: The Al Yankovic Story — 82/25
A Small Light — 19/5
Prey — 4/1
Hocus Pocus 2 — 9/2
Ms. Marvel — 9/2

BEST MUSIC AND LYRICS
Weird: The Al Yankovic Story — 17/5
Ted Lasso, “So Long, Farewell” — 9/2
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel — 9/2
Ted Lasso, “Mom City” — 11/2
Ginny and Georgia — 13/2
The L Word: Generation Q — 7/1

BEST MUSIC SUPERVISION
Daisy Jones & The Six — 16/5
Stranger Things — 4/1
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel — 4/1
The White Lotus — 9/2
Ted Lasso — 9/2

BEST DRAMA CASTING
Succession — 7/2
The White Lotus — 19/5
The Last of Us — 5/1
Bad Sisters — 6/1
The Crown — 13/2
Yellowjackets — 7/1

BEST COMEDY CASTING
The Bear — 82/25
Jury Duty — 37/10
Abbott Elementary — 4/1
Ted Lasso — 9/2
Only Murders in the Building — 9/2

BEST MOVIE/LIMITED CASTING
Beef — 59/20
Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story — 37/10
Daisy Jones & The Six — 4/1
Fleishman Is in Trouble — 5/1
Weird: The Al Yankovic Story — 5/1

PREDICT the 2023 Creative Arts Emmys through January 6

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