The 2024 A-10 Men's Basketball Tournament Seeding Probabilities
Probabilities Through games of 1/2:
Code:
Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th Average SeedDouble Bye Bye
Dayton 46.17% 22.10% 12.70% 7.45% 4.78% 2.96% 1.79% 1.08% 0.57% 0.26% 0.10% 0.03% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 2.31 88.41% 99.60%
St Joseph's PA 19.88% 20.17% 16.50% 12.70% 9.67% 7.36% 5.31% 3.66% 2.28% 1.33% 0.69% 0.31% 0.12% 0.03% 0.01% 3.67 69.25% 97.53%
St Bonaventure 9.78% 15.03% 15.20% 13.88% 11.97% 9.98% 8.07% 6.30% 4.38% 2.67% 1.47% 0.75% 0.33% 0.15% 0.03% 4.66 53.89% 94.60%
VCU 6.31% 9.96% 11.29% 12.04% 11.88% 11.54% 10.48% 8.87% 7.01% 4.73% 2.90% 1.66% 0.80% 0.39% 0.13% 5.61 39.61% 89.38%
George Mason 4.76% 8.01% 10.24% 11.37% 11.65% 11.40% 10.67% 9.60% 7.78% 6.01% 3.95% 2.35% 1.34% 0.64% 0.24% 6.07 34.37% 85.47%
Duquesne 3.98% 6.88% 9.15% 10.49% 11.53% 11.89% 11.75% 10.64% 9.04% 6.41% 4.05% 2.27% 1.16% 0.57% 0.21% 6.27 30.50% 85.34%
Richmond 4.56% 7.41% 9.19% 10.48% 10.77% 11.02% 10.80% 9.94% 8.66% 6.79% 4.57% 2.89% 1.69% 0.92% 0.32% 6.34 31.64% 82.82%
Massachusetts 2.86% 6.24% 8.28% 10.03% 10.91% 11.48% 11.33% 10.55% 9.52% 7.43% 5.06% 3.24% 1.75% 0.95% 0.39% 6.64 27.41% 81.19%
Davidson 0.96% 2.33% 3.92% 5.72% 7.70% 9.10% 10.76% 12.16% 12.51% 11.62% 9.13% 6.35% 4.24% 2.41% 1.11% 8.17 12.92% 65.15%
Loyola-Chicago 0.65% 1.58% 2.72% 4.08% 5.70% 7.35% 9.19% 10.89% 12.29% 12.64% 11.15% 8.87% 6.40% 4.25% 2.25% 8.95 9.03% 54.45%
G Washington 0.03% 0.15% 0.37% 0.76% 1.39% 2.38% 3.63% 5.54% 8.22% 11.65% 14.55% 15.27% 14.07% 12.45% 9.54% 11.30 1.31% 22.46%
St Louis 0.01% 0.04% 0.10% 0.25% 0.53% 0.87% 1.63% 2.75% 4.64% 7.30% 10.64% 13.99% 17.00% 19.50% 20.74% 12.48 0.41% 10.83%
Fordham 0.01% 0.04% 0.11% 0.27% 0.53% 0.95% 1.62% 2.81% 4.36% 6.99% 10.32% 13.77% 16.96% 19.41% 21.85% 12.52 0.43% 10.69%
La Salle 0.02% 0.04% 0.13% 0.27% 0.52% 0.88% 1.51% 2.65% 4.37% 7.06% 10.73% 13.98% 16.83% 19.08% 21.93% 12.52 0.46% 10.39%
Rhode Island 0.00% 0.03% 0.10% 0.23% 0.48% 0.85% 1.48% 2.58% 4.36% 7.11% 10.69% 14.29% 17.30% 19.26% 21.25% 12.52 0.37% 10.11