2024 Oscars: Best Original Screenplay Predictions
Since the academy expanded the Best Picture category at the Oscars in 2010, Best Original Screenplay has gone to writers of a wide-range of genres: dramas (“Birdman,” “Manchester by the Sea”); comedies (“Midnight in Paris”); biopics (“The King’s Speech,” “Green Book”); true-life stories (“Spotlight”); memoirs (“Belfast”); period pictures (“Django Unchained”); war movies (“The Hurt Locker”); sci-fi (“Her”), thrillers (“Parasite,” “Promising Young Woman:) horror (“Get Out”) and fantasies (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) . (Scroll down for the most up-to-date 2023 Oscar predictions for Best Original Screenplay.)
Regardless of the type of film, a nominee needs broad academy support to win this race. Indeed, all 14 of the most recent Best Original Screenplay winners were, at the least, Best Picture nominees. And seven of them won the big prize, bringing the total number of Best Picture champs with Oscar-winning original screenplays to 18. By comparison, 42 films have done this on the adapted side including the 2022 double dipper “CODA.”
In 2023 all five nominees for Best Original Screenplay at the Academy Awards were crafted by writer/directors. Expect auteurs to be well-represented in this race once again.
Please note: To read full descriptions of each film, check out our 2024 Oscars Best Picture predictions.
UPDATED: January 11, 2024
LEADING CONTENDERS
David Hemingson, “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)
Samy Burch, Alex Mechanik, “May December” (Netflix)
Celine Song, “Past Lives” (A24)
Emerald Fennell, “Saltburn” (Amazon)
Justin Triet, Arthur Harari, “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon)
A.V. Rockwell, “A Thousand and One” (Focus Features)
STRONG CONTENDERS
Bradley Cooper, Josh Singer, “Maestro” (Netflix)
Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, “Asteroid City” (Focus Features)
Julian Breece, Dustin Lance Black, “Rustin” (Netflix)
Alex Convery, “Air” (Amazon)
Hayao Miyazaki, “The Boy and the Heron” (Studio Ghibli)
David Scarpa, “Napoleon” (Apple/Sony)
POSSIBLE CONTENDERS
John Carney, “Flora and Son” (Apple)
Chloe Domont, “Fair Play” (Netflix)
Sean Durkin, “The Iron Claw” (A24)
Roger Ross Williams, David Teague, “Cassandro” (Amazon)
Peter Sohn, John Hoberg, Kat Likkel, Brenda Hsueh, “Elemental” (Pixar)
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