The over/under in Bills-Steelers saw a historic drop due to weather. How low will it go?

The Buffalo Bills are hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers in an NFL playoff game on Sunday in what may be a blizzard in Buffalo — and sportsbooks have taken note.

After the Bills beat the Miami Dolphins 21-14 on Sunday and clinched the AFC East title and No. 2 seed, sportsbooks opened the over/under for their playoff game with the Steelers at 43 (some opened 42).

The game initially dropped several points at sportsbooks, and has continued to fall over the course of the week. Several sportsbooks now have the over/under for the game at 33.5. The Bills are 9.5- or 10-point home favorites.

According to Evan Abrams of Action Network, the Bills-Steelers total has had the most movement for an NFL playoff total in the 224 games over 20 years that Action Labs has tracked totals.

Steelers-Bills over/under movement…

+ Opened: 43
+ Currently: 34.5@ActionLabs_HQ has tracked opening & closing totals for 20 years — Of the 224 NFL playoff games in that span, this is the biggest O/U movement we've ever seen https://t.co/ADERAerzgm pic.twitter.com/n9adM5gXf1

— Evan Abrams (@EvanHAbrams) January 12, 2024

With temperatures in the 20s, potential wind gusts of up to 40 mph and several inches of snow before and during the game, it’s looking like quite a weather game on Sunday.

How low will the total go?