Oscar predictions: How many of the 6 couples nominated will win?
Eighteen couples have shared in Oscar wins over the years. The first couple to achieve this feat was Muriel and Sydney Box, who won Best Original Screenplay in 1947 for “The Seventh Veil.” It most recently happened twice in 2019 when Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi and Jimmy Chin won Best Documentary Feature (along with Evan Hayes and Shannon Dil) for “Free Solo” and Guy Nattiv and Jaime Ray Newman won Best Live Action Short Film for “Skin.”
Among other couples to celebrate together: 2018 Best Live Action Short Film winners Chris Overton and Rachel Shenton for “The Silent Child”; 2017 Best Production Design winners Sandy Reynolds-Wasco and David Wasco for “La La Land”; and 2014 Best Original Song winners Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez for the song “Let it Go” from “Frozen.”
Could any couples join the list this year? Six duos are nominated together at this year’s Oscars. Let’s go through them and see what their chances of winning are.
Christopher Nolan and Emma Thomas — Best Picture for “Oppenheimer”
The filmmaker is nominated for Best Director and Best Adapted Screenplay for “Oppenheimer” while he’s also nominated alongside his wife for Best Picture. We predicts “Oppenheimer” will win Best Picture. Thomas and Nolan were previously nominated together for Best Picture in 2011 for “Inception” and 2018 for “Dunkirk.” Nolan was also nominated for Best Original Screenplay for “Inception,” Best Director for “Dunkirk,” and Best Original Screenplay for “Memento” in 2002 with brother Jonathan Nolan.
Margot Robbie and Tom Ackerley — Best Picture for “Barbie”
The star of this blockbuster also produced the film alongside her husband plus David Heyman and Robbie Brenner. This is Ackerley’s first Oscar bid while Robbie was previously nominated for Best Actress in 2018 for “I, Tonya” and Best Supporting Actress in 2020 for “Bombshell.”
Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach — Best Adapted Screenplay for “Barbie”
Speaking of “Barbie,” the director co-wrote the film’s script with her partner. We think Nolan will win this race. Gerwig and Baumbach did win Best Original Screenplay at the Critics Choice Awards but category confusion could see them miss out here. But they could also pull off an upset, particularly to make up for Gerwig’s Best Director snub. Gerwig was previously nominated for Best Original Screenplay and Best Director in 2018 for “Lady Bird” plus Best Adapted Screenplay for “Little Women” in 2020. That same year, Baumbach picked up Best Original Screenplay and Best Picture bids for “Marriage Story.” He was also nominated for Best Original Screenplay in 2006 for “The Squid and the Whale.”
Justine Triet and Arthur Harari — Best Original Screenplay for “Anatomy of a Fall”
There is another writing duo who we think will win. “The Holdovers” (written by David Hemingson) is their closest competitor but “Anatomy of a Fall” claimed Best Screenplay at the Golden Globes. This is Harari’s first Oscar nomination and Triet is also nominated for Best Director this year.
Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik — Best Original Screenplay for “May December”
They contend in the same category as Triet and Harari. This is the first bid for each.
Jared Hess and Jerusha Hess — Best Animated Short Film for “Ninety-Five Sense”
We predict these first-time nominees will lose to the makers of “Letter to a Pig.”
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