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2024

Still steamy, still small

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Hello Friends,

Another humid and hazy morning for Sydneysiders. Surf prospects are minimal, with only a faint 5-second period NE wind bump wafting in. It’d be generous to call it thigh-high. Still, the water’s clean and a tropical 24, while the sea breezes were light before 0800. They’ll pick up later – unlike the surf.

Tomorrow’s set to be warmer and, if anything, tinier on the surf front than today’s supine offerings.

Monday will be rather different. If the swell models have it right, we could wake to 3 metres of dead south swell at 10+ seconds. There’s quite a divergence between the ECMWF and GFS models for Monday. The ECMWF shows swell at 2 metres, dead south at 11 seconds with 15-30 kts of southerly. The GFS predicts slightly less southerly wind, but reckons the dead south swell could be 3 metres at a whopping 18 seconds apart. Both models show light wind conditions for the early on Tuesday, with GFS showing 2.3 metres at 13 seconds, and ECMWF predicting 2 metres at 11 seconds. So, forget Monday and if you’re fit and an experienced rider, circle Tuesday morning at your favourite south magnet.

Both models show the swell sticking around for the rest of the week and with light wind for the early sessions. So that’s good.

Have a great Saturday!

Weather Situation

A high south of Western Australia will push a cold front and southerly change up the cost through the weekend. This cold front will reach the north coast on Monday before weakening during Tuesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the late morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Sunday 3 March

Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly in the morning then tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 0.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Monday 4 March

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy.














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