Election Prognosticator Who Correctly Predicted Every Election Winner Since 1984 Reveals Who is Likely to Win in 2024
Allan Lichtman, an election prognosticator who has correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984, developed a formula that is used to make predictions about an upcoming presidential election — and in many cases, it proves to be accurate.
Lichtman’s "Keys to the White House" consists of 13 true or false questions that he believes establish a strong indication of who will be named the victor on the fall ballot. Each question is asked about the two dueling nominees; if "true" they are given a "key," and if "false," their competitor receives the point.
The "Keys to the White House" are being handed out, predicting...
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currently holds a slight lead in a hypothetical 2024 matchup against former President Donald Trump.
Thus far, Biden holds five of the "keys," while Trump was able to capture about three, Lichtman revealed to MarketWatch. That leaves five keys still up for grabs, and enough room for the former president to secure a lead before November.
According to American University, where Lichtman teaches, the "keys" are as follows: party mandate, contest, incumbency, third party, short-term economy, long-term economy, policy change, social unrest, scandal, foreign/military failure, foreign/military success, incumbent charisma and challenger charisma.While Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. met the requirements to appear on the Utah presidential election ballot, Biden was granted another "key" for not appearing to have any significant third party or independent primary challenge.
The Democrat was also given "keys" for having "real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms," as well as implementing policy changes during his presidency.Trump, however, secured key number one, which is granted to whoever’s political party holds the majority in the House of Representatives — which goes to the GOP.
Painting Biden as having a lack of charisma, Lichtman gave Trump the 12th key, and possibly another point if Biden fails to have "a major success in foreign or military affairs."
Lichtman correctly predicted Trump would win the 2016 election, and thereafter that Biden would win the 2020 presidential election against Trump.Prince Harry and Prince William's relationship is preservable depending on who the former marries. Had the Duke of Sussex married someone like his sister-in-law Kate Middleton, instead of Meghan Markle, Prince Charles and Princess Diana's sons would have enjoyed a better bond at present, according to a royal biographer.
Prince Harry Allegedly Determines Relationship With Prince William
Prince William and Prince Harry were very close growing up. They maintained their tight bond even after the Duke of Cambridge married Kate Middleton.
The three royals were even inseparable that they were dubbed "the royal trio." There was also a time Prince Harry was called his brother and sister-in-law's third wheel.
However, things changed when Prince Harry met and married Meghan Markle. Initially, royal fans thought that the royal trio would become fab four, but Princess Diana and Prince Charles' sons decided to have separate households.
Tina Brown weighed in on Prince Harry and Prince William's relationship when she discussed her new book, The Palace Papers. According to her, the two princes would have had a better relationship had Prince Harry looked for a bride similar to Prince William's wife, Middleton.
"It all depended on who Harry married. If Harry married somebody like Kate, I’m quite sure their relationship would have been preservable," Brown told Marie Claire.
"But he’s pursued such a different course now from William, going off to live an essentially Hollywood life...Meghan showed him another world that he found much more exciting. I understand it, but it’s been very disruptive to their relationship."
Prince Harry And Prince William's Relationship Strained Due to Unsolicited Advice About Meghan Markle Romance
Princess Diana and Prince Charles' two sons got each other's back. They were each other's support growing up. However, Prince Harry was very disappointed when his older brother advised him to slow down with his romance with Meghan Markle.
To be fair to Prince William, he had no bad intentions and only wanted what was best for his younger brother based on how he felt at the time. The Duke of Cambridge, himself, took his time before he proposed to Kate Middleton. The Duchess of Cambridge waited for a decade, that many mocked and called her "Waity Katie" due to the long wait for Prince William's proposal.
So, Prince William only shared with his brother how he approached relationships and marriage. Unfortunately, Prince Harry didn't take it well.
"It was largely down to Harry resenting his brother," the author of "Harry: Life, Loss, and Love" said on Channel 5’s William & Harry: Princes at War. "Harry supported his brother from the outset with Kate and he felt very let down that he wasn’t getting his brother’s full, 100% support with his relationship with Meghan and things changed."At present, the two brothers are rumored to be still at odds. When the Duke and Duchess of Sussex visited the Queen and Prince Charles in the U.K. last month before they headed to the Netherlands for the Invictus Games, they didn't get to see the Cambridges as the family was on a ski trip in the French Alps at the time.
Stay tuned for more news and updates about Prince William, Prince Harry, Kate Middleton, Meghan Markle, and the rest of the members of the royal family.QueenKate Middleton is also making headlines after the Queen announced that Camilla will be "queen consort." The searches for "Queen Kate" have surged with the public wanting to ensure that Prince William's wife will also earn the title when he becomes king.
Kate Middleton Earns Public Support As Searches For "Queen Kate" Surge
Queen Elizabeth II announced on the eve of Accession Day that she wanted the people to extend the same support to Prince Charles and Camilla when it's their time to reign. Her Majesty also showed her public support to the Duchess of Cornwall by announcing that she will be "Queen Consort" when the Prince of Wales takes over the throne.
Royal watchers have been following the matter since Prince Charles and Camilla's wedding. The surprising announcement divided the royal fans, with some agreeing and others not. However, it also spawned an unexpected reaction — the netizens started to search for "Queen Kate" following the announcement that the public searches for the term surged by 678%, according to the Bed Kingdom.
READ: Kate Middleton, Prince William's PDA Very Different From Meghan Markle, Prince Harry
The term "Will Kate be Queen" also shot up by 2, 303%, which only shows how the public supports Middleton and wants her to be their queen one day.
"Ever since Kate joined the Royal Family in 2011, she has been incredibly well received by both the public and family alike, cementing her position as a well-loved and respected member of the firm," a spokesperson for Bed Kingdom said about the findings, per The News."With the announcement that Camilla is to be called 'Queen Consort', these findings highlight the support that Kate has from the British public to also go by that title when William's reign arrives. There have often been concerns about the role and future of the Royal Family after Queen Elizabeth II's reign, however these findings show that William and Kate are incredibly popular and have the ability to carry the royal family into a new era, which will bring the Queen a lot of comfort."
ALSO READ: Meghan Markle Shock: Prince Harry's Wife Changes Fashion, Dresses Like A 'Very Young Billionaire'
Kate Middleton And Prince William Supports Queen Elizabeth
Royal author Nigel Cawthorne claims that the Queen is experiencing a "whole gamut of emotions" as she marks her 70th anniversary on the throne. However, she knows that the Duke and Duchess of Cambridge and their family got her back.
"Thankfully,QueenQueenQueenQueenQueenQueen has the strong arms of William and Kate around her shoulders. I think we’re going to see Her Majesty’s grandchildren really step up this year and her great grandchildren, especially George, will be up front and heavily involved in the celebrations," Cawthorne said on Love Sunday magazine, per Mirror.
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He noted that a lot of things have happened throughout the years for the Queen from remembering her father's death, grieving her husband's passing, celebrating the family's achievement and taking over the throne of a bomb-scared nation, and steering it into a period of political stability. She is banking on the Cambridges to continue the legacy.
"That is an incredible legacy. She knows William, Kate and their children will find a way forward for the royal family," he added.
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