Biden, Trump neck and neck in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin: Polls

President Biden and former President Trump are neck and neck in hypothetical general election matchups in the key battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, according to polling released Tuesday.

The FAU PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research poll — which includes 2,068 adults in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — shows the presumptive parties’ nominees performing well within the poll’s margin of error in the three states, all of which Biden won by thin margins in 2020.

Overall, Trump leads Biden by one point among all voters (44 percent to 43 percent) and one point among likely voters (44 percent to 43 percent).

In Michigan, voters are split between Trump and Biden, with 45 percent supporting each candidate. Likely voters lean slightly more in Biden’s favor, with 47 percent backing the president and 46 percent backing the former president.

In Pennsylvania, Trump leads Biden by two points among all voters (45 percent to 43 percent), as well as among likely voters (47 percent to 45 percent).

In Wisconsin, Biden leads Trump by two points among all voters (40 percent to 38), but Trump leads Biden by one point among likely voters (41 percent to 40 percent).

“Neither side has a meaningful advantage in any of the three states at this time,” Dukhong Kim, associate professor of political science at FAU, said in a statement.

With the margins so close, just a small number of voters in battleground states can be significant in determining the outcome of the general election in November.

In The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s national polling average, Trump leads Biden by one point, 45.1 percent to 44.1 percent — well within most polls' margins of error.

The FAU PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research poll was conducted on May 30-31, 2024, and had a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points overall.