Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025: Nicole Kidman, Selena Gomez now expected to receive noms [Updated September 19]

If the 2025 Oscars nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict as the nominees and winners? Our predictions center officially opened on July 1, 2024 and already more than 3,900 people have made their forecasts in the categories for picture, directing, acting, writing and animation. So who’s out front to claim these golden trophies, according to the Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025?

Below, see a snapshot in time of our racetrack odds for the 97th Academy Awards, updated on September 19, 2024. See how the odds and rankings have changed over time by examining our previous Oscar snapshots on July 3, July 9, July 16, July 23, July 29, August 6, August 19, August 28 and September 11.

Now expected to receive a nomination since the last update: Nicole Kidman in Best Actress for A24’s erotic thriller “Babygirl”; Selena Gomez in Best Supporting Actress for Netflix’s musical crime comedy “Emilia Perez”; Guy Pearce in Best Supporting Actor for A24’s historical drama “The Brutalist”; and “The Brutalist” in Best Original Screenplay for co-writers Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold.

SEE Make your Oscar predictions right now — it’s fun and easy!

Gold Derby’s Academy Awards odds are based on the combined forecasts of Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. We will continue to update the Oscar predictions center whenever new information is provided to us by the studios/campaigners.

BEST PICTURE

Predicted Nominees

1. “Anora” — 8/1
2. “Conclave” — 17/2
3. “Emilia Perez” — 19/2
4. “Sing Sing” — 19/2
5. “Dune: Part Two” — 19/2
6. “Blitz” — 10/1
7. “The Brutalist” — 13/1
8. “Nickel Boys” — 15/1
9. “Gladiator II” — 20/1
10. “A Complete Unknown” — 33/1

Predicted Spoilers

“The Piano Lesson,” “Saturday Night,” “A Real Pain,” “The Room Next Door,” “The Life of Chuck”
See more Best Picture contenders …

BEST DIRECTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Sean Baker (“Anora”) — 9/2
2. Steve McQueen (“Blitz”) — 13/2
3. Jacques Audiard (“Emilia Perez”) — 7/1
4. Edward Berger (“Conclave”) — 15/2
5. Denis Villeneuve (“Dune: Part Two”) — 8/1

Predicted Spoilers

Brady Corbet (“The Brutalist”), Ridley Scott (“Gladiator II”), Greg Kwedar (“Sing Sing”), RaMell Ross (“Nickel Boys”), Pedro Almodovar (“The Room Next Door”)
See more Best Director contenders …

BEST ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Mikey Madison (“Anora”) — 4/1
2. Karla Sofia Gascon (“Emilia Perez”) — 5/1
3. Angelina Jolie (“Maria”) — 6/1
4. Amy Adams (“Nightbitch”) — 15/2
5. Nicole Kidman (“Babygirl”) — 23/2

Predicted Spoilers

Saoirse Ronan (“Blitz”), Saoirse Ronan (“The Outrun”), Marianne Jean-Baptiste (“Hard Truths”), Julianne Moore (“The Room Next Door”), Tilda Swinton (“The Room Next Door”)
See more Best Actress contenders …

BEST ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Colman Domingo (“Sing Sing”) — 4/1
2. Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”) — 4/1
3. Timothee Chalamet (“A Complete Unknown”) — 11/2
4. Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”) — 6/1
5. Daniel Craig (“Queer”) — 7/1

Predicted Spoilers

John David Washington (“The Piano Lesson”), Joaquin Phoenix (“Joker: Folie à Deux”), Paul Mescal (“Gladiator II”), Sebastian Stan (“The Apprentice”), Sebastian Stan (“A Different Man”)
See more Best Actor contenders …

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Predicted Nominees

1. Danielle Deadwyler (“The Piano Lesson”) — 19/5
2. Zoe Saldana (“Emilia Perez”) — 9/2
3. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (“Nickel Boys”) — 13/2
4. Isabella Rossellini (“Conclave”) — 7/1
5. Selena Gomez (“Emilia Perez”) — 14/1

Predicted Spoilers

Felicity Jones (“The Brutalist”), Lady Gaga (“Joker: Folie à Deux”), Joan Chen (“Didi”), Toni Collette (“Juror #2”), Natasha Lyonne (“His Three Daughters”)
See more Best Supporting Actress contenders …

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Predicted Nominees

1. Kieran Culkin (“A Real Pain”) — 5/1
2. Clarence Maclin (“Sing Sing”) — 5/1
3. Guy Pearce (“The Brutalist”) — 7/1
4. Stanley Tucci (“Conclave”) — 15/2
5. Denzel Washington (“Gladiator II”) — 15/2

Predicted Spoilers

Samuel L. Jackson (“The Piano Lesson”), Edward Norton (“A Complete Unknown”), Harris Dickinson (“Blitz”), Mark Hamill (“The Life of Chuck”), John Lithgow (“Conclave”)
See more Best Supporting Actor contenders …

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Predicted Nominees

1. “Sing Sing” — 39/10
2. “Conclave” — 4/1
3. “Nickel Boys” — 6/1
4. “Dune: Part Two” — 9/1
5. “The Piano Lesson” — 13/1

Predicted Spoilers

“The Room Next Door,” “Nightbitch,” “The Life of Chuck,” “Queer,” “A Complete Unknown”
See more Best Adapted Screenplay contenders …

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Predicted Nominees

1. “Anora” — 19/5
2. “Blitz” — 11/2
3. “A Real Pain” — 13/2
4. “The Brutalist” — 8/1
5. “Saturday Night” — 19/2

Predicted Spoilers

“Hard Truths,” “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” “The Substance,” “Challengers,” “September 5”
See more Best Original Screenplay contenders …

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Predicted Nominees

1. “The Wild Robot” — 7/2
2. “Inside Out 2” — 39/10
3. “Memoir of a Snail” — 9/2
4. “Flow” — 6/1
5. “Moana 2” — 10/1

Predicted Spoilers

“Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl,” “Piece by Piece,” “Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim,” “Transformers One,” “Despicable Me 4”
See more Best Animated Feature contenders …

SIGN UP for Gold Derby’s free newsletter with latest predictions