Now, with the election just one day away, Scher sees little sign that the Trump campaign did anything to change course in an election that could be decided by incredible slim margins.
"In a contest where one or more states may be decided by less than a percentage point, the rational strategic decision is to invest money and talent in an effective turnout operation," writes Scher. "All available evidence indicates that Harris did that and Trump did not. And Trump can’t say I didn’t warn him."
Scher then goes through some recent reports about the efforts that Charlie Kirk's Turning Point USA and Elon Musk's political action committee have made in trying to turn out voters -- and Scher concludes that it looks like "a five-alarm dumpster fire."
But why, Scher then asks, would Trump outsource such a potentially critical operation to inexperienced outsiders in what might be a razor-thin election?
" In June, I surmised that a strategy based on juicing the base and ignoring the swing appealed to his innate narcissism because the latter would require rhetorical modulation or message discipline," he speculated. "Doing things the old-fashioned RNC way—with door-knocking efficiently concentrated in more densely populated areas where more swing voters live—meant behaving like a responsible adult. Following Kirk’s strategy of digging up stray MAGA voters in far-flung places allowed Trump to indulge in his darkest impulses."
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