Iran hardliners rally behind new leader, unsettling global markets
Iran’s hardliners staged a show of force on Monday, taking to the streets to proclaim their loyalty to new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, whose rise appeared to dash hopes of a swift end to war in the Middle East causing havoc on global markets.
The prospect that one of the most severe disruptions ever to hit global energy supplies could last longer than previously expected sent oil prices surging in record leaps and stock markets into a nosedive.
Khamenei, 56, a Shi’ite cleric with a power base among the security forces and their vast business empire, has been declared unacceptable by U.S. President Donald Trump, who has demanded Iran’s unconditional surrender.
“I think they made a big mistake,” Trump told NBC News when asked about Khamenei’s elevation.
Iranian state media showed large crowds in several cities rallying behind the new leader, waving Iranian flags and holding portraits of his father Ali Khamenei, killed by an Israeli strike on the war’s first day.
In Isfahan, state TV reported the sound of nearby explosions from apparent airstrikes as loyalists gathered in the historic Imam Square, chanting “God is the Greatest” below a stage with portraits of Ali and Mojtaba Khamenei.
In Tehran, a eulogist could be heard singing: “Either death or Khamenei, our blood leads to paradise.”
POLITICAL SYSTEM RALLIES BEHIND NEW LEADER
Politicians and institutions issued pledges of loyalty to the new supreme leader, whose wife, son and mother also died at the start of the U.S.-Israeli air onslaught according to Iranian state media.
“We will obey the commander-in-chief until the last drop of our blood,” a defence council statement said.
Iranians reached by telephone were divided, with supporters of the authorities hailing the choice as a declaration of defiance and opponents fearful it would dash their hopes for change.
“I am so happy that he is our new leader. It was a slap in the face to our enemies that thought the system will collapse with the killing of his father. Our late leader’s path will continue,” said university student Zahra Mirbagheri, 21, from Tehran.
Many Iranians had initially celebrated the elder Khamenei’s death, weeks after his security forces killed thousands of anti-government protesters in the worst domestic unrest since the era of Iran’s 1979 revolution. But there has since been little sign of anti-government activity, with activists fearful of taking to the streets while Iran is under attack.
“The (elite Revolutionary) Guards and the system are still powerful. They have tens of thousands of forces ready to fight to keep this regime in place. We, the people, have nothing,” said Babak, 34, a businessman in the central city of Arak who asked to keep his family name confidential.
Israel says its war aim is to overthrow Iran’s system of clerical rule. U.S. officials mainly say Washington’s aim is to destroy Iran’s missile capabilities and nuclear programme, but Trump has said the war can end only with a compliant Iranian government.
Israel had said it would kill whoever succeeded the elder Khamenei unless Iran ended its hostile policies.
OIL SURGES PAST $100 A BARREL, THEN DIPS BACK
The war has effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas, leaving tankers unable to sail for more than a week and forcing producers to halt pumping as storage fills.
Sources said on Monday that Saudi Arabia had curbed production at two oil fields, becoming the latest Gulf producer to curb supply after Iraq and Kuwait.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 were up 6.55% at $98.77 per barrel at 1745 GMT, having earlier shot as high as $119.50 in what would have been the biggest one-day rise on record. Since the war started, Brent has surged by as much as 65%.
The prospect of a prolonged energy crisis – reviving memories of the Middle East oil shock of the 1970s – sent global share markets into a tailspin, with airline stocks hit especially hard in the face of surging jet fuel prices.
The price of gasoline has particular political resonance in the United States, where Trump’s Republicans hope to keep control of Congress in midterm elections in November.
The president is expected to review as early as Monday a set of options to tame domestic oil prices, including a possible release of crude oil from strategic reserves or restricting U.S. exports, according to two people familiar with the matter.
In his interview with NBC News, Trump said it was “too soon” to discuss seizing Iranian oil, adding: “Certainly people have talked about it.”
OIL REFINERY HIT
Tehran was choked in black smoke after an oil refinery was hit, an escalation in strikes on Iran’s domestic energy supplies. World Health Organization chief Tedros Ghebreyesus warned of the dangers from such attacks.
“Damage to petroleum facilities in Iran risks contaminating food, water and air – hazards that can have severe health impacts especially on children, older people, and people with pre-existing medical conditions,” he wrote on X.
Turkey said on Monday NATO alliance air defences had shot down a ballistic missile that was fired from Iran and entered Turkish airspace, the second such incident of the war. Iran did not immediately comment on the report.
Turkey, Iran’s neighbour with NATO’s second-largest army, had warned Tehran on Saturday against attacking again, but it has not suggested it wants to formally call on bloc members for further protection.
Israel’s military said it had launched new attacks in central Iran and struck the Lebanese capital Beirut, where Israel has extended its campaign after the Iran-backed militia Hezbollah fired across the border.
U.S.-Israeli attacks have killed at least 1,332 Iranian civilians and wounded thousands, according to Iran’s U.N. ambassador. Lebanon has reported more than 400 people killed there, with nearly 700,000 people to flee their homes.
In Israel, ambulance workers said one man died from shrapnel wounds at a construction site near Tel Aviv’s international airport, raising to 11 the death toll from Iranian strikes.
