Tottenham vs Burnley betting preview: odds and predictions
IT is a must win for both teams in North London on Saturday afternoon but who will come out on top?
Quick betting tips for Tottenham vs Burnley
- Burnley over 1.5 goals – 7/4 with Spreadex
- Cristian Romero anytime scorer – 7/1 with bet365
- Jacob Bruun Larsen anytime scorer – 3/1 with bet365
Tottenham vs Burnley odds
Here are the latest match odds for Tottenham vs Burnley from our favourite football betting sites. Odds are subject to change.
Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Burnley F.C. betting preview
This is a big game for both sides, make no mistake.
Spurs simply must win if they are to stand any chance of catching Aston Villa in the race for a top-four finish, while Burnley – five points from safety with two games to play – will be relegated unless they are victorious.
The season-long stats suggest it is Spurs who should triumph with few problems.
They’ve won all six games against the relegation candidates so far, while Burnley have lost all 11 against the top six. They’ve conceded 33 goals in those matches with at least two shipped in every game.
Those are strong numbers for trends followers yet it’s hard to get to enthused by prices around the 2/7 mark about a home win.
After all, Spurs come into this one having lost four in a row, conceding goals for fun.
That will give Burnley, beaten in just two of their last nine, plenty of hope, although whether they will be able to keep the home side out to any great extent is open to question and that aspect also makes it hard to back them at 6/1.
The plan of attack here from a betting perspective is to back goals.
The bookies are rather clued up with over 3.5 around 8/13 but opportunities abound in other markets such the anytime goalscorer one.
But perhaps the best wager is to back Burnley to score at least twice.
They have to win but given they are without a clean sheet in 19 games, even they must know the chances of them nicking a tight game are low.
Therefore expect this is be an end-to-end affair with both teams having to go for it.
Read on to find out exactly how to go about backing goals at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium…
Tottenham vs Burnley key stats
- Spurs’ Son Heung-min has 17 Premier League goals this season to sit seventh in the race for the Golden Boot.
- Tottenham are without a clean sheet in their last eight games, the last four of which have all been lost.
- Burnley have gone 19 games with a clean sheet, although they have scored in eight of their last nine, only two of which have been lost.
- Only Manchester United have a higher set-piece expected goals against (SPxGA) figure than Burnley.
- The Clarets have lost all 11 games they’ve played against the current top six, conceding 33 goals in the process.
Tottenham vs Burnley best bets
Find our best bets for Tottenham vs Burnley below. All our odds for the bets are from the best football betting sportsbooks, as per our expert reviews. Odds in our football betting tips are also subject to change.
Burnley over 1.5 goals
With both teams desperate for three points, it’s easy to envisage a ding-dong battle, especially with neither side particularly competent defensively at the moment.
Last week’s loss to Newcastle was just Burnley’s second in nine games and that run has seen them land this bet at West Ham, Chelsea and Sheffield United.
With Spurs on an awful run which is likely to cost them a top-four finish, the Clarets look a good price to score twice again.
Back Burnley to score 1.5+ goals at 7/4 with Spreadex
Cristian Romero anytime scorer
Burnley’s stats defending set-plays are not good – fourth for goals conceded from them, third for shots conceded from set pieces and second for expected goals against in such situations.
Romero can take advantage – he’s got into some good positions from corners of late and has scored in two of Spurs’ last four home games. He could have had more too.
He also netted for Argentina in that period and could be a spot of value to strike again.
Back Romero to score at any time at 7/1 with bet365
Jacob Bruun Larsen anytime scorer
During Burnley’s recent good run, Larsen has scored in three of his eight games from his role on the left-hand side.
Burnley will surely look to the former Hoffenheim man to provide another goal in their hour of need.
He also averaging 2.7 shots per 90 minutes this season (including eight in his last three games), the most of the Burnley regulars.
Back Bruun Larsen to score at any time at 3/1 with bet365
How to watch Tottenham vs Burnley
- Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
- Time: 15:00 BST on Saturday, May 11
- Where to watch: Not being shown live
About the author
Dean Etheridge
Dean is a freelance sports betting writer and website owner who specialises in football and cricket. With many years of experience writing for his own publications and others, Dean can turn his hand to a wide variety of sports, using his extensive knowledge and sense of humour to provide expert content with a totally different perspective. You can follow Dean on LinkedIn (@deanetheridge) and Twitter (@etheridge_dean).
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