NFL week 11 tips, predictions, free bets and sign up offers: Five bets to look out for this week
LAST week was another profitable one if you backed the singles, that’s the third occasion out of the last four weeks.
With the Playoff race as open as it has been in years, let’s dive into five more picks across Week 11.
(2021 Predictions W-L-D: 27-22-1 54%)
Lions @ Browns (-10) – 18:00
They might have broken their losing streak last Sunday but I fear for the Browns here.
Cleveland has a point to prove after being embarrassed by the Patriots, and they get a home game against a team that hasn’t won on the road since December 6th last year.
Good teams usually respond after a huge loss and you know they’ll be in an angry mood.
There are whispers that Kareem Hunt may see his first action in a while but even without him, Nick Chubb (providing he clears COVID protocol) should dominate against a bottom-three rushing defense.
Finally, their two home games against lower opponents so far this season (Houston, Chicago) saw them win both by double digit scorelines. Expect a similar outcome.
Prediction: Lions 20 Browns 34 (Browns -10)
Dolphins (-3) @ Jets – 18:00
This pick is almost as much on the Jets as it is on the Dolphins.
Gang Green are 2-7 against the spread this season, with Miami losing against the spread just once on the road.
It’s been a mini-bye for the Dolphins, yet that much improved performance against Baltimore still sticks long in the memory.
Tua is expected to start and this is the chance to show his franchise that they shouldn’t bail on him just yet.
He’s not been the main problem this season: He’s improved in yards per attempt from last year, has twice as many total touchdowns than picks.
In terms of QBR, he’s ranked above Joe Burrow and Russell Wilson this season; That’s not a bad place to be.
The Jets could allow Tua to feast with their bottom five pass defense… Time for the 23-yard Hawaiian to start playing like a fifth overall selection and guide Miami to their third win in a row.
Prediction: Dolphins 28 Jets 21 (Dolphins -3)
Washington @ Panthers (-3.5) – 18:00
Yes, the Football Team surpassed all expectations when they comprehensively beat the Bucs on Sunday but you feel that it would be tough to replicate that against another NFC South opponent, especially when you consider that star DE Chase Young is now out for the season.
He’s the heartbeat of this team, even if his stats this year haven’t shown that.
Meanwhile, they may very well have to deal with Cam Newton’s first start for Carolina since returning to the franchise where he made his name.
It’s given the city of Charlotte a huge lift as they look to secure a wild card spot over the last seven games of the season. We haven’t even mentioned Christian McCaffrey yet: He looked back to his old self on Sunday against the Falcons, where he racked up 95 yards and 7.3 yards per carry.
If Newton and CMC can find the chemistry they showed from 2017-2019, the rest of the NFC should watch out. This team can make a run.
Prediction: Washington 24 Panthers 34 (Panthers -3.5)
Cardinals (-2.5) @ Seahawks – 21:25
It was an ugly loss for Arizona against the aforementioned Panthers but they were missing a raft of players, many of whom could return.
Kyler Murray has a chance to return and if it gets confirmed during the week, expect this line to move.
We’ve already seen what Colt McCoy can do as back up, and reports suggest that he will be fit to play backup if needed.
As for DeAndre Hopkins, he could also return after suffering a hamstring injury.
Again, we’ve seen this Cardinals team win in the face of adversity, and the Seahawks look listless and without direction after being shut out by the Packers and falling to 3-6.
With Russell Wilson not looking fully fit, the play here is to back against him.
And once you consider that Arizona are a perfect 5-0 against the spread on the road this season, the lock becomes clear.
Prediction: Cardinals 30 Seahawks 20 (Cardinals -2.5)
Cowboys @ Chiefs (-2.5) – 21:25
Here we go then: It’s an acid test game for Dallas, who look like Super Bowl contenders more than any point in their 25 years since winning their last Lombardi Trophy.
To put it bluntly, the Chiefs looked ‘back’ against Vegas.
But this represents a step up in quality for KC; Outside of that Denver game,
Dallas have looked the real deal. Dak Prescott is sitting pretty on a 115 passer rating and we know how poor the Chiefs defense has been recently.
The Cowboys have been 8-1 against the spread this season, with Kansas City 3-7.The Cowboys covered on the road in week 1 when they nearly beat the Bucs, but I see them going one better.
In a season where statement wins have been hard to come by, Dallas wins on the road to mark them as the team to beat.
Prediction: Cowboys 33 Chiefs 31 (Cowboys +2.5)
Acca:
Browns -10
Dolphins -3
Panthers -3.5
Cardinals -2.5
Cowboys +2.5
Pays 23.9/1
LATEST OFFERS
NFL free bets and sign up offers
Paddy Power: Bet £20 and get it back as Cash if it Loses – CLAIM HERE
New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using Cards or Apple Pay will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply. Paddy’s Rewards Club: Get a £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of £10+. T&Cs apply. 18+ Begambleaware.org
Betfair: Get a £20 free bet when you place £50 worth of bets. Repeat up to 5 times – CLAIM HERE
New customers place £50 worth of bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100. Min odds 1.2 (1/5). Multiple bets included. Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
William Hill: Bet 10 Get 40 – CLAIM HERE
18+. Play Safe. New customers using promo code M40 only. 1x per customer. Min £/€10 bet. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Free bets of 2 x £/€15 issued after first qualifying bet settles. Max £/€10 Bonus. 35x wagering requirement. Max redeemable bonus: £25. Casino bonus expires after 72 hours. UK & Eire only. Additional T&Cs, including free-bet, game, location, payment method and stake contributions apply. Begambleaware.org
BoyleSports: Bet £10 get £30 (Mobile only) – CLAIM HERE
New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+. T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.Org
Remember to gamble responsibly
A responsible gambler is someone who:
- Establishes time and monetary limits before playing
- Only gambles with money they can afford to lose
- Never chase their losses
- Doesn’t gamble if they’re upset, angry or depressed
- Gamcare – www.gamcare.org.uk
- Gamble Aware – www.begambleaware.org
For help with a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 or go to www.gamstop.co.uk to be excluded from all UK-regulated gambling websites.
Commercial content notice: Taking one of the bookmaker offers featured in this article may result in a payment to The Sun. 18+. T&Cs apply. Begambleaware.org