The latest on the Tropical Formation in Gulf and its impact on Acadiana

The National Hurricane Center is continuing to monitor a trough of low pressure that is located over northern Florida. This entity will continue to work southwestward and enter into the Gulf. Thereafter, a ridge of high pressure will build to its east, cutting it off from the main trough and leaving it lingering across the northeastern Gulf. With the disturbance over very warm waters and in a very moist environment, indications are that a broad low pressure will be developing by Wednesday/Thursday.

This will be when tropical formation will be possible. The NHC has increased development odds to 80% that at least a tropical depression will form from this system.

The models are starting to come together more and more with the potential tropical system that may develop over the next few days. The European model has been trending east over the last few runs and now has landfall as a weak hurricane down near Houma, which would keep the worst part of the system east of Acadiana.

The GFS has a weaker system making landfall across the western parts of the state. We are still waiting on more tropical models to come into play once we have a developed system. A shift 50 to 60 miles either way could make a very big difference with impacts across Acadiana, so we will have a better idea about those later this week.

If the system stays east of us, impacts will be minimal. I like the eastern trend with the European model as that would keep it east of Acadiana. Landfall will be sometime Saturday. Stay tuned for the rest of the week on the latest with this potential tropical system.

Now is a good time to download the new KLFY Weather App.

If you have an Android phone, you can download it at the Google store by clicking here.

If you have an Apple phone, can you download it at the Apple Store by clicking here.

Stay tuned!