Re: Fans to return to EFL matches

Whilst you are right it is a somewhat meaningless statement on its own. All we can say is that the number of people testing positive is creeping up. What we don't know is how many in society are infected but have not been tested. We have never had any real grasp on total infections.

[coronavirus.data.gov.uk]

Going back a few months there were around 5,000 positive tests a day when we were consistently testing well below 100,000 people per day. The last report shows 1,735 positive cases (which is rising) but is only 1% of the tested cases. Those few months ago 7-10% of the tests were positive. We are now doing many more and it is just 1%.

Even better though is the massive fall in people needing to be hospitalised and the much lower daily death count. That said some of these figures are quite lagging and there are anomalies at times. For example there was a recent report of just a couple of deaths in the UK (but on checking one was a missed Covid death from April and being reported in August).

The virus might have mutated and treatment is certainly much better. This might be keeping the death rate down. Often a virus mutates to be more virulent but less fatal or more severe and less virulent.